Hawkesbury Guineas: Waller's Underdog Threatens to Rock the Boat in Competitive Field

2025-08-20
Hawkesbury Guineas: Waller's Underdog Threatens to Rock the Boat in Competitive Field
Sydney Morning Herald

Chris Waller’s dominance in Australian racing is legendary, and he’s often a force to be reckoned with in black-type middle-distance races leading up to the spring carnival. However, this year’s Hawkesbury Guineas (1400m) promises to be a particularly intriguing affair, and the spotlight isn’t solely on Waller’s established stars. While the stable boasts several leading contenders, a less-heralded runner could be poised to deliver a significant upset.

The Hawkesbury Guineas consistently attracts a strong field of talented horses, and this year is no exception. Several well-backed favourites are vying for position, each with compelling form lines and the backing of seasoned punters. But Waller, known for his astute assessment of his horses, believes that one of his less-fancied runners possesses the potential to challenge the established order.

“We’ve got a few horses in the race that are in good shape, and we’re confident they can run well,” Waller stated. “But this particular horse… he’s shown me something in his work that suggests he’s capable of more than people are giving him credit for. He's got a good barrier and a light weight, which will be advantageous. It’s a competitive race, of course, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run a big race.”

The key to this horse’s potential lies in a combination of factors. His recent form might not be eye-catching, but Waller points to improvements in his training and a favourable draw as significant advantages. The horse also possesses a tactical profile that could suit the race conditions – a fast-paced tempo often benefits those who can settle towards the back and unleash a powerful finishing kick.

Several seasoned racing analysts agree that Waller’s assessment is worth considering. While the favourite holds a clear advantage on paper, the unpredictable nature of racing means that an upset is always a possibility. This particular Waller runner, with its favourable conditions and the trainer’s confidence, represents a genuine value proposition for those looking to back an outsider.

The Hawkesbury Guineas promises to be a thrilling spectacle, with a competitive field and the potential for a significant upset. Keep an eye on Waller’s underdog – he just might be the one to steal the show. Don't miss the race this weekend!

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